AD Hogar Alcarreño vs SP Cabanillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
YUN
1 - 0
HAL
18%
22%
61%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HAL
3 - 1
CDQ
77%
14%
8%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CDP
0 - 1
HAL
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 0
CBA
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ADS
0 - 4
HAL
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SP Cabanillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 2
TDR
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CAB
0 - 1
YUN
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CDQ
0 - 0
CAB
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 2
CDP
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CBA
1 - 1
CAB
26%
23%
52%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |