HNK Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
10º
10º
29
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 67 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 67 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 63 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 57 |
4º
|
48% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 48 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 45 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 39 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 32 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 68% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
47% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 2
HNS
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 3
OSI
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HKS
4 - 0
HNS
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HNS
0 - 0
IST
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RIJ
3 - 0
HNS
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 4
OSI
52%
23%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
RBS
0 - 2
DZG
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IST
2 - 2
DZG
21%
25%
55%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 1
DZG
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
MON
21%
21%
58%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |