HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
43
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 2
HNG
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
0 - 0
HKS
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RIJ
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RUD
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 4
HNG
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Slaven Belupo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 3
RIJ
22%
25%
54%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
3 - 1
SLA
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 1
OSI
22%
26%
53%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DZG
4 - 0
SLA
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
HKS
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |