HNK Cibalia vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
HNK
2 - 1
SLA
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
HNK
3 - 1
INT
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
KIV
3 - 1
HNK
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
NKV
5 - 1
HNK
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HNK
2 - 2
ZAG
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
KIV
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
SLA
2 - 1
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
ZAG
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
INT
3 - 0
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
HNK
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |