Histon vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HIS
0 - 2
CRA
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HAY
1 - 2
HIS
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
GRI
2 - 1
HIS
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HIS
0 - 3
KET
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
HIS
1 - 1
EAS
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
TAM
2 - 1
GRI
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
TAM
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
KID
2 - 2
TAM
49%
26%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
TAM
3 - 1
LUT
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 1
CAM
38%
28%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |