Hinckley United vs Stalybridge Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
HIN
4 - 0
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
RUN
1 - 2
HIN
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
HIN
1 - 4
VAU
55%
22%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
RFC
1 - 1
HIN
52%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
DRO
1 - 0
HIN
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stalybridge Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
GAI
2 - 2
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
STA
1 - 0
RED
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
STA
2 - 2
MOO
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ASH
2 - 3
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
STA
1 - 1
NUN
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |