Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs Euskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GEW
1 - 3
HIL
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HIL
1 - 1
TRO
59%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 3
HIL
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HIL
2 - 4
HEW
76%
15%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BFR
0 - 1
HIL
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Euskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
EUR
2 - 0
AAA
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WES
0 - 5
EUR
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EUR
4 - 2
HUR
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KOW
0 - 3
EUR
21%
22%
56%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EUR
1 - 2
GER
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |