Hibernian FC vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
4º
30
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 28 |
12º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
77% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 0
HIB
35%
25%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
HIB
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HIB
1 - 2
MHE
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STM
0 - 0
ROS
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
STM
3 - 1
STJ
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 1
STM
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOM
4 - 0
STM
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STM
0 - 1
DUN
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |