Heven vs Gievenbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
HEV
0 - 3
LIP
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
ABI
4 - 1
HEV
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
DOR
3 - 2
HEV
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HEV
0 - 2
WER
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
RBE
2 - 0
HEV
54%
22%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gievenbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
SPR
6 - 0
GIE
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
GIE
1 - 3
LIP
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
GUT
2 - 0
GIE
80%
13%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ABI
2 - 1
GIE
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
GIE
2 - 5
DOR
29%
24%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |