Hessen Kassel vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 4
HES
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
HES
4 - 0
KKA
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
HES
0 - 0
FVB
75%
16%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 1
HES
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
HES
0 - 1
WOR
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SVB
1 - 1
SCN
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
SVB
2 - 0
BAU
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
VIK
0 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SVB
3 - 2
KKA
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
BUC
1 - 1
SVB
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |