Hertha Zehlendorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
4º
1º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
75% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 1
HZE
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HZE
3 - 0
NEU
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCS
0 - 2
HZE
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAH
0 - 8
HZE
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HZE
0 - 1
VIK
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 1
RSV
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TUM
3 - 2
SVS
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 1
UNI
27%
20%
53%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 1
SVS
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 2
LIC
10%
14%
77%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |