Bundesliga round 22

Hertha BSC vs Hamburger SV analysis

Hertha BSC Hamburger SV
83 ELO 80
8.4% Tilt 5.3%
333º General ELO ranking 242º
23º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
57%
Hertha BSC
22%
Draw
21%
Hamburger SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
Hertha BSC
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Hertha BSC
Hamburger SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 1972
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
35%
27%
37%
84 79 5 0
05 Feb. 1972
HER
Hertha BSC
3 - 1
Hannover 96
HAN
66%
19%
15%
84 76 8 0
29 Jan. 1972
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
78%
14%
8%
84 90 6 0
22 Jan. 1972
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
62%
21%
17%
84 80 4 0
15 Dec. 1971
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
63%
20%
17%
84 84 0 0

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 1972
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
62%
20%
18%
81 81 0 0
19 Feb. 1972
HSV
Hamburger SV
3 - 3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
74%
16%
10%
81 69 12 0
13 Feb. 1972
BRE
Werder Bremen
4 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
55%
22%
23%
82 81 1 -1
05 Feb. 1972
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
51%
25%
24%
82 85 3 0
29 Jan. 1972
HSV
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
B. Dortmund
BVB
62%
20%
18%
82 74 8 0