Hertha BSC vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
88.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20%
0-4
11.1%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14.7%
0-5
7%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.9%
0-6
3.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
13º
18º
18º
71
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
S04
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RBL
3 - 2
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
SCF
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
HOF
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BYM
2 - 0
INT
65%
19%
16%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BYM
6 - 2
M05
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 3
BYM
24%
20%
56%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HOF
0 - 2
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 5
BYM
2%
8%
90%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |