Herrestads AIF vs Vänersborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
3º
27
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SKS
1 - 1
HER
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
KON
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 2
HER
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LID
3 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
KUM
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vänersborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
KUM
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VFK
1 - 1
VAN
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
MOT
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
VAN
21%
24%
54%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 1
SKO
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |