Hernani U19 vs Zarautz U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1016%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
16º
16º
42
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernani U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
4 - 0
HER
69%
19%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
DAN
42%
22%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ANT
2 - 0
HER
66%
19%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
REA
55%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DUR
0 - 4
HER
36%
24%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zarautz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BCF
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
5 - 0
DEP
40%
22%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 2
ZAR
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ZAR
4 - 0
DAN
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 2
ZAR
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |