Hernán Cortés vs Usagre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDN
3 - 3
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
HER
5 - 0
SPR
24%
23%
53%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UDF
2 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
CAS
8%
16%
76%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
OLY
2 - 0
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Usagre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
CPG
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ZAF
1 - 0
USA
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CDN
1 - 1
USA
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
SPR
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 0
USA
32%
25%
44%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |