Hernán Cortés vs Olympic Peleño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 2
HER
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
CAM
12%
20%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
HER
82%
13%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UCL
2 - 1
HER
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
GIM
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Olympic Peleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
OLY
2 - 0
CPG
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
USA
2 - 0
OLY
33%
23%
44%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
OLY
5 - 1
CDN
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OLY
4 - 0
SPR
44%
23%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UDF
2 - 1
OLY
28%
23%
49%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |