Herk vs Wanze / Bas-Oha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
DEK
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ZWA
2 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WIT
3 - 0
HER
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EXV
1 - 0
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
BRE
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Wanze / Bas-Oha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
WAN
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
WAN
2 - 1
CIN
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
WAN
0 - 1
ELS
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WAN
0 - 2
COU
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WAN
2 - 3
HAM
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |