Heredia vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 1
HER
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
0 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
MUN
5 - 1
ESC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 3
MUN
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MUN
6 - 2
CON
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |