Hércules vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
4 - 0
HER
58%
18%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
HER
1 - 2
ESP
47%
22%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 1
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SEV
1 - 1
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
FCB
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VCF
45%
20%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
VCF
4 - 0
BET
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATH
1 - 2
VCF
83%
10%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |