Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-4
Hércules vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
CDT
1 - 4
HER
70%
16%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
CAR
2 - 1
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
LEV
1 - 0
HER
32%
23%
46%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
HER
0 - 1
GIM
85%
10%
5%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
ELC
2 - 0
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
CDT
1 - 4
HER
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
BET
4 - 1
CDT
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
CDT
1 - 1
BET
51%
22%
28%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |