Hércules vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
RCD
5 - 1
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
HER
5 - 0
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CAR
1 - 0
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
38%
24%
39%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
BAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
MUR
3 - 1
UDL
46%
22%
33%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
ATB
2 - 0
MUR
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ALI
4 - 2
MUR
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MUR
2 - 0
PUL
70%
17%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
LEV
1 - 0
MUR
54%
22%
25%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |