Hércules vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
REC
1 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
HER
5 - 0
CDT
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
MEL
1 - 0
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
HER
3 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
50%
23%
28%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 0
ELD
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
CAD
3 - 1
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
GRA
5 - 0
LEV
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
GRA
2 - 0
CFC
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
PUL
2 - 1
GRA
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |