Hércules vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BAL
2 - 2
HER
33%
23%
44%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
ALB
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
CAT
5 - 1
HER
32%
23%
45%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
HER
1 - 2
VAL
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
MLL
0 - 1
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
CAR
4 - 1
ELC
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CAR
1 - 5
MUR
24%
21%
56%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
GRA
6 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 72 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
CAR
4 - 1
RCD
28%
22%
51%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 1949 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |