Hércules vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
RCF
2 - 2
HER
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
HER
2 - 0
RCD
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
MAL
2 - 1
HER
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
RAC
2 - 4
HER
56%
21%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
HER
2 - 2
LEV
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
BAR
5 - 1
LEV
58%
19%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
MLL
2 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
BAR
6 - 1
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
RSO
2 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
BAR
0 - 0
ALC
42%
22%
36%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |