Hércules vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
HER
0 - 0
FCB
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
HER
3 - 1
UDL
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
ATH
1 - 0
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
HER
1 - 0
SLA
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ATM
3 - 1
OVI
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
RAC
4 - 3
ATM
33%
29%
39%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATM
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATM
33%
29%
39%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1976 |
ATM
3 - 2
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |