Hércules vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
MUR
3 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
HER
2 - 0
SFE
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
CDT
0 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
EXT
1 - 0
HER
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
PUL
4 - 0
CAD
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
MAL
4 - 2
PUL
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
PUL
3 - 1
RAY
74%
16%
11%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
UDL
2 - 1
PUL
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
PUL
1 - 1
CCF
58%
21%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |