Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1985 |
GRO
1 - 0
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
HER
0 - 2
VVV
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
HER
0 - 2
MVV
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEC
94%
5%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
NEC
1 - 0
VVV
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
NEC
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
NEC
2 - 1
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
BOS
2 - 0
NEC
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |