Heracles vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
16º
13º
7
11º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 72 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 67 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 64 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 61 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 60 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 49 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 46 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 44 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 40 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 35 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
12.5% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZWO
3 - 0
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
WIL
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 3
PSV
19%
20%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
GRO
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AZA
9 - 1
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 0
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
UTR
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |