Hennef 05 vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
1º
26
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 1
H05
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SVE
2 - 3
H05
29%
21%
49%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FVE
1 - 2
H05
12%
16%
73%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
H05
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PES
6 - 0
BWF
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 0
PES
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PES
0 - 3
BGP
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
PES
1 - 3
SPV
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
PES
4 - 2
WES
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |