Hennef 05 vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
WES
1 - 3
H05
23%
22%
56%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
H05
3 - 2
SCF
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
H05
1 - 2
KÖL
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 3
H05
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SVB
0 - 3
H05
31%
23%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 2
BWF
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HUR
2 - 0
BWF
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
NET
2 - 0
BWF
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
BWF
1 - 4
ENG
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
BWF
0 - 2
WAC
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |