Hendon vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 2
HEN
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
HEN
4 - 1
THU
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
SLO
1 - 2
HEN
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 1
SLO
27%
22%
51%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
HEN
3 - 3
DUL
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
BOG
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 3
BAT
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
HEM
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 3
BAT
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |