Henderson Eels vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Henderson Eels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
REA
6 - 0
HEE
22%
19%
59%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HEE
4 - 2
KOS
39%
22%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
HEE
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HEE
1 - 3
SOL
30%
21%
49%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
WAU
1 - 1
HEE
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
JFC
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
SOU
30%
20%
50%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
SOS
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
KOS
0 - 5
SOU
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
HOC
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |