National League South round 1

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Salisbury City analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town Salisbury City
38 ELO 44
-5.5% Tilt -2.6%
5878º General ELO ranking 5149º
239º Country ELO ranking 196º
ELO win probability
28.4%
Hemel Hempstead Town
24.8%
Draw
46.8%
Salisbury City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
Hemel Hempstead Town
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.8%
Win probability
Salisbury City
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hemel Hempstead Town
-24%
-4%
Salisbury City

ELO progression

Hemel Hempstead Town
Salisbury City
Worthing
Dorking Wanderers
Bath City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hemel Hempstead Town
Hemel Hempstead Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2024
WEA
Wealdstone
3 - 2
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
60%
21%
19%
38 45 7 0
26 Jul. 2024
SHO
Sholing
0 - 3
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
30%
25%
46%
38 34 4 0
23 Jul. 2024
DID
Didcot Town
1 - 4
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
15%
21%
64%
38 22 16 0
20 Jul. 2024
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
1 - 3
Barnet
BAR
11%
17%
73%
38 54 16 0
13 Jul. 2024
REA
Reading U21
0 - 2
Hemel Hempstead Town
HEM
64%
20%
16%
37 50 13 +1

Matches

Salisbury City
Salisbury City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
SAL
Salisbury City
2 - 3
Woking
WOK
38%
26%
36%
45 48 3 0
01 May. 2024
SAL
Salisbury City
2 - 1
Gosport Borough
GOS
48%
25%
28%
44 43 1 +1
27 Apr. 2024
SAL
Salisbury City
2 - 0
Hanwell Town
HAN
65%
20%
15%
44 35 9 0
20 Apr. 2024
HAY
Hayes & Yeading United
0 - 2
Salisbury City
SAL
26%
24%
49%
43 35 8 +1
13 Apr. 2024
SAL
Salisbury City
0 - 2
Harrow Borough
HAR
71%
18%
11%
44 31 13 -1