Hellas Verona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
VER
1 - 1
ASS
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CAG
2 - 1
VER
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
PAD
3 - 2
VER
76%
15%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
MES
3 - 0
VER
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
VER
2 - 0
LEC
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 1
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
REG
2 - 1
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
BRE
4 - 6
MOD
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOD
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |