Serie A round 11

Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina analysis

Hellas Verona Fiorentina
67 ELO 85
-12.4% Tilt -11%
124º General ELO ranking 19º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.5%
Hellas Verona
25.6%
Draw
46.9%
Fiorentina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
Hellas Verona
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.9%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hellas Verona
-3%
+4%
Fiorentina

ELO progression

Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 1957
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
73%
16%
11%
68 82 14 0
27 Oct. 1957
VER
Hellas Verona
3 - 2
Udinese
UDI
33%
24%
42%
67 78 11 +1
20 Oct. 1957
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 0
Bologna
BOL
32%
25%
44%
66 80 14 +1
13 Oct. 1957
ROM
Roma
2 - 1
Hellas Verona
VER
74%
16%
11%
67 79 12 -1
06 Oct. 1957
NAP
Napoli
6 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
70%
18%
12%
67 79 12 0

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 1957
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Torino
TOR
65%
20%
15%
85 77 8 0
03 Nov. 1957
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
46%
24%
31%
85 79 6 0
27 Oct. 1957
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 1
Napoli
NAP
61%
22%
18%
85 80 5 0
20 Oct. 1957
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma
ROM
63%
21%
16%
84 79 5 +1
13 Oct. 1957
GEN
Genoa
1 - 3
Fiorentina
FIO
34%
26%
40%
84 72 12 0