Challenger League round 9

Heist vs Lommel SK analysis

Heist Lommel SK
51 ELO 58
7.4% Tilt 12.5%
4353º General ELO ranking 617º
77º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
34.1%
Heist
24.7%
Draw
41.1%
Lommel SK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
Heist
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.1%
Win probability
Lommel SK
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heist
-54%
-19%
Lommel SK

ELO progression

Heist
Lommel SK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heist
Heist
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2013
TUB
Tubize
2 - 2
Heist
HEI
52%
24%
24%
50 54 4 0
14 Sep. 2013
HEI
Heist
1 - 1
KAS Eupen
EUP
22%
26%
52%
50 65 15 0
11 Sep. 2013
MOU
Mouscron
5 - 0
Heist
HEI
74%
17%
9%
51 68 17 -1
07 Sep. 2013
HEI
Heist
2 - 1
Hoogstraten
HOO
38%
25%
38%
50 55 5 +1
04 Sep. 2013
HEI
Heist
1 - 1
Geel-Meerhout
GEE
48%
24%
28%
50 51 1 0

Matches

Lommel SK
Lommel SK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2013
LOM
Lommel SK
2 - 3
Lierse SK
LIE
39%
25%
36%
58 62 4 0
21 Sep. 2013
LOM
Lommel SK
3 - 0
Eendracht Aalst
EEA
56%
23%
21%
57 53 4 +1
15 Sep. 2013
ANT
Antwerp
1 - 0
Lommel SK
LOM
47%
25%
28%
58 58 0 -1
11 Sep. 2013
LOM
Lommel SK
1 - 1
Dessel Sport
DES
60%
23%
18%
58 53 5 0
07 Sep. 2013
LOM
Lommel SK
0 - 0
KSV Roeselare
KSV
53%
24%
23%
58 56 2 0