Heist vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
COX
2 - 2
HEI
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 1
DEI
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
HEI
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
OLS
3 - 2
HEI
44%
23%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HEI
2 - 0
GEN
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 0
WSW
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GEE
1 - 1
ANT
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 0
PAT
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 1
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
IZE
1 - 3
ANT
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |