FC Hegelmann vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
2º
10º
2º
41
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HLI
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 2
FAS
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 2
HLI
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 3
FKT
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 1
LIE
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
BAN
72%
20%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 0
PAN
20%
28%
53%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
DAI
71%
20%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 0
PAN
13%
24%
63%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
FKT
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |