HEBC Hamburg vs FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
9º
18º
9º
41
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HEBC Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 0
HAM
70%
17%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OSD
1 - 1
HEB
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 2
ALT
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 2
HEB
44%
21%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 2
HEB
33%
22%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
WIL
64%
17%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 0
RUG
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
VHG
3 - 5
WIL
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
EIM
2 - 1
WIL
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |