NPFL round 18

Heartland Owerri vs Lobi Stars analysis

Heartland Owerri Lobi Stars
71 ELO 70
-18% Tilt -17.5%
1953º General ELO ranking 1174º
23º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
44%
Heartland Owerri
29.7%
Draw
26.2%
Lobi Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
Heartland Owerri
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
26.2%
Win probability
Lobi Stars
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heartland Owerri
-9%
-10%
Lobi Stars

ELO progression

Heartland Owerri
Lobi Stars
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heartland Owerri
Heartland Owerri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2008
GOM
Gombe United
1 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
48%
29%
23%
71 71 0 0
06 Jan. 2008
AKW
Akwa United
1 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
41%
30%
29%
71 65 6 0
16 Dec. 2007
HEA
Heartland Owerri
1 - 0
Sunshine Stars
SUN
43%
29%
28%
71 71 0 0
09 Dec. 2007
ENU
Enugu Rangers
2 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
46%
29%
25%
71 68 3 0
02 Dec. 2007
HEA
Heartland Owerri
2 - 0
JUTH FC
JUT
50%
28%
22%
71 65 6 0

Matches

Lobi Stars
Lobi Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2008
LOB
Lobi Stars
1 - 1
Ocean Boys
OCE
53%
27%
20%
71 67 4 0
06 Jan. 2008
LOB
Lobi Stars
5 - 0
Wikki Tourist
WIK
47%
29%
24%
71 71 0 0
15 Dec. 2007
BEN
Bendel Insurance
2 - 2
Lobi Stars
LOB
41%
29%
30%
71 65 6 0
09 Dec. 2007
NAS
Nasarawa United
0 - 0
Lobi Stars
LOB
41%
29%
29%
71 67 4 0
02 Dec. 2007
LOB
Lobi Stars
3 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
51%
27%
21%
71 66 5 0