Lowland League round 33

Hearts II vs Bo'ness United analysis

Hearts II Bo'ness United
50 ELO 45
13.5% Tilt 1.2%
4576º General ELO ranking 5257º
52º Country ELO ranking 57º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Hearts II
21.5%
Draw
23%
Bo'ness United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
Hearts II
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23%
Win probability
Bo'ness United
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hearts II
-27%
-10%
Bo'ness United

Points and table prediction

Hearts II
Their league position
Bo'ness United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
81
81
100%
Hearts II
69
69
100%
Bo'ness United
67
67
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
65
65
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
60
60
100%
Celtic II
59
59
100%
Civil Service Strollers
56
56
100%
Linlithgow Rose
50
50
100%
Albion Rovers
46
49
20%
Stirling University
11º
46
49
10º
20.5%
Cowdenbeath
10º
46
46
11º
70.5%
Caledonian Braves
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Berwick Rangers
13º
42
42
13º
100%
East Stirlingshire
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Broomhill FC
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
12
12
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hearts II
Bo'ness United
100% 100%

ELO progression

Hearts II
Bo'ness United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hearts II
Hearts II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2024
HOM
Hearts II
5 - 3
East Stirlingshire
THE
70%
17%
13%
48 35 13 0
23 Mar. 2024
GRE
Gretna 2008
0 - 3
Hearts II
HOM
17%
21%
62%
48 18 30 0
16 Mar. 2024
LIN
Linlithgow Rose
0 - 1
Hearts II
HOM
42%
24%
34%
47 43 4 +1
12 Mar. 2024
BFC
Broomhill FC
1 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
26%
24%
50%
46 34 12 +1
08 Mar. 2024
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
47%
24%
30%
45 47 2 +1

Matches

Bo'ness United
Bo'ness United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
BON
Bo'ness United
1 - 0
Sauchie Juniors
SJU
64%
19%
17%
46 36 10 0
23 Mar. 2024
LIN
Linlithgow Rose
1 - 2
Bo'ness United
BON
42%
24%
34%
45 43 2 +1
16 Mar. 2024
EAS
East Kilbride
0 - 2
Bo'ness United
BON
72%
17%
12%
43 52 9 +2
09 Mar. 2024
BON
Bo'ness United
3 - 2
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
59%
21%
20%
43 39 4 0
02 Mar. 2024
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 - 5
Bo'ness United
BON
19%
20%
61%
42 26 16 +1