Heart of Lions vs Nations analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+152%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 0
HEA
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 0
ACC
32%
30%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 0
HEA
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 2
BGS
28%
30%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 1
HEA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NFC
2 - 2
BOF
20%
25%
55%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
NFC
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
NFC
1 - 0
AGO
23%
26%
51%
|
25 | 64 | 39 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 1
NFC
70%
20%
11%
|
24 | 66 | 42 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
NFC
1 - 0
DRE
20%
24%
57%
|
23 | 66 | 43 | +1 |