1st Division Temporada Regular round 16

HB Køge vs Esbjerg analysis

HB Køge Esbjerg
53 ELO 57
-14.9% Tilt 1.9%
3050º General ELO ranking 1259º
30º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
21.7%
HB Køge
25.3%
Draw
53%
Esbjerg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
HB Køge
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53%
Win probability
Esbjerg
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
HB Køge
+6%
-1%
Esbjerg

ELO progression

HB Køge
Esbjerg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HB Køge
HB Køge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2021
VEN
Vendsyssel
4 - 1
HB Køge
HBK
36%
28%
36%
53 53 0 0
01 Nov. 2021
HBK
HB Køge
2 - 0
AC Horsens
ACH
17%
24%
58%
51 63 12 +2
22 Oct. 2021
HVI
Hvidovre IF
1 - 0
HB Køge
HBK
66%
21%
13%
51 61 10 0
16 Oct. 2021
HBK
HB Køge
1 - 0
Nykøbing FC
LFA
16%
23%
62%
50 62 12 +1
04 Oct. 2021
ESB
Esbjerg
2 - 0
HB Køge
HBK
56%
24%
21%
51 58 7 -1

Matches

Esbjerg
Esbjerg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2021
ESB
Esbjerg
2 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
20%
23%
58%
58 73 15 0
05 Nov. 2021
ESB
Esbjerg
2 - 2
Jammerbugt
JAM
52%
25%
23%
58 53 5 0
29 Oct. 2021
HOB
Hobro
2 - 6
Esbjerg
ESB
35%
26%
39%
57 54 3 +1
23 Oct. 2021
ESB
Esbjerg
1 - 2
Fredericia
FRE
32%
26%
42%
58 61 3 -1
14 Oct. 2021
FCH
FC Helsingør
3 - 0
Esbjerg
ESB
54%
24%
22%
59 64 5 -1