National League South round 16

Hayes & Yeading United vs Chelmsford City analysis

Hayes & Yeading United Chelmsford City
36 ELO 42
-3.4% Tilt -9.4%
7939º General ELO ranking 3594º
360º Country ELO ranking 117º
ELO win probability
36%
Hayes & Yeading United
25%
Draw
39%
Chelmsford City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
Hayes & Yeading United
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39%
Win probability
Chelmsford City
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hayes & Yeading United
-4%
-21%
Chelmsford City

ELO progression

Hayes & Yeading United
Chelmsford City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hayes & Yeading United
Hayes & Yeading United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2015
SUT
Sutton United
0 - 1
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
69%
19%
12%
37 47 10 0
31 Oct. 2015
DAR
Dartford
2 - 0
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
52%
24%
24%
38 39 1 -1
17 Oct. 2015
CON
Concord Rangers
0 - 3
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
63%
20%
17%
36 41 5 +2
10 Oct. 2015
BIS
Bishops Stortford
0 - 0
Hayes & Yeading United
HAY
58%
22%
20%
36 40 4 0
03 Oct. 2015
HAY
Hayes & Yeading United
0 - 0
Gosport Borough
GOS
20%
24%
56%
34 49 15 +2

Matches

Chelmsford City
Chelmsford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2015
CHM
Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Truro City
WHI
45%
24%
32%
41 42 1 0
31 Oct. 2015
BAT
Bath City
2 - 0
Chelmsford City
CHM
46%
24%
30%
42 44 2 -1
24 Oct. 2015
CHM
Chelmsford City
0 - 0
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
33%
25%
42%
42 49 7 0
17 Oct. 2015
BAS
Basingstoke Town
1 - 2
Chelmsford City
CHM
39%
25%
37%
42 41 1 0
10 Oct. 2015
BAS
Basingstoke Town
4 - 2
Chelmsford City
CHM
33%
26%
42%
44 39 5 -2