Hawkes Bay United vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 4
EAS
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 2
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TAS
2 - 4
HAW
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
4 - 0
WAI
43%
24%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 2
HAW
74%
15%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 1
WEL
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 2
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 3
AUC
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TAS
3 - 2
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 3
CAN
24%
24%
51%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |