Hawkes Bay United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
HAW
3 - 2
TAS
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TEA
3 - 3
HAW
57%
22%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
HAW
6 - 3
EAS
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
WAI
1 - 0
HAW
39%
24%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
HAW
6 - 4
HAW
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
KFC
0 - 1
AUC
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 2
AUC
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TAS
1 - 1
AUC
25%
27%
49%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TEA
1 - 3
AUC
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 1
AUC
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |