Le Havre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ANG
0 - 0
LHA
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
LHA
1 - 0
SFP
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
FCR
0 - 0
LHA
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LHA
2 - 2
MPL
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
REN
1 - 0
LHA
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ASN
0 - 3
SED
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MPL
1 - 0
ASN
49%
23%
29%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ASN
3 - 0
MET
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ASN
5 - 1
LYO
56%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1961 |
SOC
0 - 1
ASN
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |