Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
11º
8º
37
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
38% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
HAV
51%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAR
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
7%
15%
79%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |