Hatayspor vs Bodrum FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
13º
18º
19º
14
8º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 76 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 70 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 57 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 55 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 53 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 49 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 49 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 47 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 47 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 46 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 44 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 40 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 40 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 34 |
18º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 28 |
19º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
96.5% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
HAT
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 2
HAT
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
KAS
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
HAT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bodrum FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOD
0 - 1
IST
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 0
BOD
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
KON
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
EYU
4 - 1
BOD
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BOD
0 - 1
GFK
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |